Status Quo Week

This week the good matchups are fewer and further between. This is especially true in the two conferences that have yet to expand to nine game schedules. That needs to be fixed soon.

Last week’s Ohio State hero was the punter. Let that sink in. Troy took the lead in the FunBelt, my sneaky good game was just that, and Ok State’s 2-point play call left a lot to be desired. Bama’s D is doing their version of No Score November to support defensive awareness.

This week the marquee matchup is Notre Dame v Syracuse in Yankee Stadium. I don’t know if they’ll win, but the Orange will give them a good game. Cincinnati and UCF should be interesting. UCF can score but can’t stop anyone. Wonder if the Big 12 is giving them a look? USC plays UCLA and both teams have been wearing the home colors lately for the matchup. The Game between Cal and Stanford usually provides quality entertainment. I guess a game between ranked teams isn’t a sneaky good one, but Iowa St at Texas will go a long way to decide the Big 12 CG. And San Diego St and Fresno St try to decide their division.

Last week my mediocrity continued. I have been living at .500. The Vegas 5 went 2-2-1 again and moved to 26-26-3 on the season. Top 25/SEC went 11-9 to go to 123-117.

This week the Vegas 5 starts like last week. I want the Over (62) in The Citadel/Bama game. UAB (+16.5) keeps it close with some solid defense. UMass (+41.5) against Georgia because that’s a lot of points and Kirby will put in backups to the backups late. Texas Tech (-6.5) should cover against Kansas St. And I like the Over (57) in the Missouri/Tennesee game.

Who’s your picks?

Advertisements

The Picture Begins to Reveal

After last weekend our playoff contenders have come into view. I agree with the CFP Committee on their top 6. Looks like the next few weeks will go a long way to seeing the finished product. But I highly doubt everyone keeps winning.

We found out the Bama defense was tired of hearing about the O and how they weren’t as good as years past. Clemson seems to be on cruise control, but BC should give them a game, especially in that weather. Notre Dame and Michigan look good enough to run the table, but some tricky spots could trip them up.

Three of the Power 5 conference  title games will involve teams that are barely over .500. The SEC and Big 12 seem to have the proper balance, but the others not so much this season.  This Saturday, the Miss St defense looks to prove itself against the juggernaut of the Bama O. While Georgia got their revenge last year against Auburn, I think they still want a little more. Troy meets Georgia Southern in a monster Sun Belt game. I like Troy’s chances. Bedlam happens this weekend, but Oklahoma should be too string for the Pokes.  Friday noght Fresno St @ Boise St in what could be a very good match up. The sneaky good game of the week should be UCLA @ Arizona St. The Pac 12 remains the most entertaining conference.

Last week was good for the Vegas 5. I went 4-1 to move to 24-24-2. Top25/SEC tally slipped again at 10-12 and 112-108 total.

This week I like the Over (52.5) when Miss St visits Bama. I’ll take Boston College (+20) against Clemson. Weather will be a factor in that one. Kentucky (-6) will rebound at Tennessee. It’s hard to imagine Bedlam is low scoring, so I have the Over (80) in Oklahoma St @ Oklahoma. And give me Pitt (-3) when Va Tech comes to town.

Who’s your locks?

Separation Saturday

I enjoyed a fun Saturday of football with our friends in the Delta last week. Tunica’s books are open for business. It’s be nice if the Horseshoe added some TVs at the tables.

Iowa threw an ill-timed pick at the 5 that destroyed their chances in Happy Valley. Georgia took the Cocktail Party on to find that UK has some magic left in that old silk hat they found. And Oregon St had the stunner last weekend coming from 31-3 to find a way to win in OT.

This week we find out the truth in several division. The headliner, as it has been for a while, is Bama @ LSU. Is the Tide O for real? This will be the best D Bama has seen this year and best by far in the regular season. While it’s a night game in Baton Rouge, Bama has had good success in those situations. Georgia goes to Kentucky with the winner taking the East and likely playing the winner of our headliner. Michigan looks to continue its revenge tour against Penn St. I think ND and Northwestern will play a sneaky good one.

The Big 12 gets clearer this weekend. WVU @ Texas and Oklahoma @ Texas Tech will go a long way to decide that conference. The Pac 12 is still the most entertaining conference. And, with all the MACtion during the week, are any MAC teams playing Saturday? Asking for a friend.

Last week the hook killed me at times in Tunica on a few games. I went 2-2-1 in the Vegas 5 moving me to 20-23-2. My top 25/SEC was brutal again at 8-9 and 102-96 on the season.

This week The Vegas 5 starts with the Over (61) in the Louisville/Clemson game. I like Northwestern (+9) hosting Notre Dame. I have Georgia Tech (-4.5) against North Carolina. The Over (58) when West Virginia goes to Texas. And Illinois (+9) against Minnesota.

Who’d you take?

Bye Week

It’s bye week here at The Blog. That means a full day of watching whatever game strikes me at the time.

I thought the Ohio St/Purdue game would be good. I was kinda wrong as it was a blowout. I felt Purdue had a shot and took them in my picks section and they sure delivered. Michigan has established themselves as a true contender while LSU exposed Miss St as overly one-dimensional. Washington St just may take the PAC 12. Clemson absolutely destroyed NC St. The question there is whether that means the Tigers have awoken or if the Wolfpack were overrated.

This week brings fewer marquee match ups, yet no shortage of great action. The Cocktail Party sees two Top 10 teams for the first time in a decade. I’m a Georgia lean on that one, but I think Florida could sneak out with the win if the Dawgs let them hang around. Iowa travels to Penn St. I think the Hawkeyes are legit contenders for the Big 10 West. Washington St will take the next step if they can handle Stanford.

Last week’s Vegas 5 could’ve gone better. I hit 2-3 to move to 18-21-1. Top 25/SEC went 11-7 moving me to 94-87 for the year. I’m gonna need to start hitting quick if I want to make a move.

This week’s Vegas 5 starts for me with Syracuse (+2.5) hosting NC St. I like the Over (64.5) in the Kansas St/Oklahoma game. I’ll go with the Under (70.5) in the Bama opponent Sun Belt game between Arkansas St and Louisiana. UNLV (+3) is my pick against San Jose St. Lastly, I’ll take Iowa (+6) against Penn St.

Who’s your pick?

Third Saturday in October!

We’ve reached my favorite week of the year. Tennessee Week. There’s just something special about when Bama and UT get together.

Massive shakeup at the top of the pecking orders last week. Plus, a ton of closer than expected games. Oh, yeah, and Bama covered. My biggest take away was that Auburn is not the team they should be, and LSU is better than expected. I thought LSU would play it close, but that was a show they put on. Michigan handled Wisconsin. The Pac 12 and Big 12 playoff hopes are fading fast. But, before you scream that these champions don’t get a shot, the whole idea is the get the best four teams. The conferences will obviously spin what they can cause they got money on it, but the reason these leagues miss out is because they don’t have one of the best teams. That doesn’t mean they don’t have quality teams or teams that can’t play with anyone any given Saturday.

Looks like the Oregon/Wash St game has become the marquee match up. Clemson/NC St may decide a playoff spot. Does LSU have a letdown against Miss St? Can Kentucky win the SEC East? That would be quite the shocker. Michigan St looks to continue its success against Michigan. To me, I may flip over and catch some of the Ohio St/Purdue game. It could be sneaky good.

The real Vegas 5 was nice. It could’ve been nicer, but I lost on a hook in the NW/Neb game. I went 3-2 to move to 16-18-1 on the year. The Top 25/SEC has been dismal. 5-12 and 83-80 is where we are. It’s embarrassing.

This week I like Purdue (13.5) to keep it reasonable. I like Minnesota (+4) against Nebraska. I’ll take the Over (57) when Bama goes to UT. I want the Under (54.5) in Georgia Southern and New Mexico St. Lastly, the Over (44.5) in the Virginia/Duke game.

Who’d you take?

Homecoming

I’m fresh back from Vegas and ready for homecoming weekend.

Bama’s secondary took quite the dent as one of the starting CBs is out for the year. The Tide D is already young and showing it. Florida was the surprise for me last week. Their line played very well in the win over LSU. Miss St handled business against a confusing Auburn squad. And, Missouri suffered from being in a torrential downpour and delay that fueled South Carolina to victory and ended the Tigers SEC East dreams. UGA meanwhile travels to Death Valley for a Louisiana afternoon game.

Texas kept hope alive and Oklahoma St continued its drop. The PAC 12 North gets clearer this weekend when Washington visits the Ducks, while the South does the same Colorado goes to USC. Can Michigan defend the Big House against Wisconsin?  The one certainty this year is it has been difficult to predict, but the traditional powers still look to be in prime position.

My Top 25/SEC continues to struggle. 8-14 last week dropping me to 78-68. Ugh.

My Vegas 5 however came through well. I went 4-1 for the week bringing my season total to 13-16-1. This week I have a true Vegas 5 courtesy of the fine people at Bally’s. It’s a great book with stadium seating, nice bar at the top, and a food court right there beside it.

I’m taking the Over (55.5) in the Hawaii/BYU game. I also like the Over (54.5) in the Georgia Tech/Duke game. I just feel all four teams can score on each other. I haven’t seen anything to believe in from Nebraska and am taking Northwestern (-3.5). I have Purdue (-10.5) against Illinois. Lastly, I believe the Hogs have found their QB and I took Arkansas (+6.5) against Ole Miss despite the fact the game is in Little Rock.

Where’s your action?

You’re a Daisy If You Do

Much like the classic line from Doc Holiday, perhaps we should have a spelling contest.

What we learned about the top team in the nation last week was the third team defense needs to work on tackling drills and it was hot in Bryant-Denny Stadium. The biggest matchup of the day witnessed a peculiar play call as Ohio State took the driver’s seat in the Big 10. Clemson got a scare from Syracuse while watching their QB room shrink. Miss State has inexplicably forgotten how to play offense. And the PAC 12 continues to entertain. Oh, the reports of Washington’s demise may have been erroneous, let’s see how they handle LA this Saturday.

The Red River Shootout finds itself once again amid the deep-fried Texas State Fair. They even have fried Coke. I got nothing. It’s the 10th anniversary of the classic 3-2 Auburn/Miss St game. Exciting! The once must watch TV FSU/Miami game should be a yawner. The sneaky good game of the week may be San Diego St on the blue field @ Boise St. My prime-time viewing will begin with UK @ aTm before flipping over to the PAC 12 after dark and MWC games.

My pics continue to live in Bizzaro World. I went 2-3 in the Vegas 5 again. MTSU going for 2 and the win cost me the Over. In top 25/SEC action, I had another tough week of 8-12 and sit at 70-54for the season.

This week’s Vegas 5 starts with the Over (56.5) when Alabama visits Arkansas. I like South Florida (-15) against UMass. Surely Illinois (-5) will cover @ Rutgers. I’m leaning LSU (-2.5) @ Florida. And I feel an Over (60) in the Oklahoma/Texas game.

Where’s your picks?

Confusion Sets In

This is quickly becoming a tough year to figure out. While I wasn’t sold on Va Tech being a contender, they should’ve been able to handle Old Dominion. After watching the Big 10 West lay an egg, the ACC said, “hold my beer.”

Army proved that holding the ball for ¾ the game can put even a top 10 team like Oklahoma in jeopardy. Jimbo called 2 TOs in the last 15 seconds in the Bama blow out of aTm. Thanks for delaying my trip home through the never-ending construction zone that is Tuscaloosa. Who had Kentucky and Duke both being ranked at the same time in football? Liar. And what has gotten into North Texas? 4-0 for the first time since 1966.

This week will find me in my usual seat at Bryant-Denny while I watch the only team from the state of Louisiana that I’ve yet to see play in person. Two SEC games that are typically classics have mismatch written all over them this year. Arkansas v aTm and UT v UGA. I’m intrigued by the Syracuse visit to Clemson. The Tigers are a bad hit away from having no scholarship QB playing now that Kelly Bryant has decided to transfer. Ole Miss plays LSU a lot earlier than they should this season I promise this though, PAC12 after dark is the place to be this weekend. I expect to fall asleep on the couch watching entertaining, competitive games. Oh yeah, there’s apparently a good game in the B1G as Ohio St visits Penn St in White Out conditions.

Not only did I have a bad week in the Vegas 5 (2-3) and moved to 7-12-1 on the year, I also stunk up the joint in my Top 25/SEC picks going 11-14. That drops my season total to 62-42. It’s time to turn this around before I start having to bag groceries for casino money.

This week’s Vegas 5 starts with Indiana (-16.5) against what may be the worst team in FBS in Rutgers. Purdue (-3.5) continues its turnaround against struggling Nebraska. There will be some points scored and the Over (46.5) obtained in the Boise St @ Wyoming game. I also like the Over (60.5) in the FAU/MTSU game. And I’ll take Stanford (+3) against Notre Dame.

Who’d you pick?

Mess in the West

Bad week for the Big 10, especially the West. Ohio St needed every defensive play they could get to slip past TCU on a “neutral” field and 7 teams lost to unranked non-conference opponents. To be the best conference depth is required.

What I learned from Week 3 is that little guys can still play, Kansas has its first win streak in a long time, and Ole Miss wishes they could’ve stopped after the first play. Streaks were snapped in Wisconsin and Lee County as The Badgers dropped to a BYU team that lost to Cal and LSU made another stellar comeback against Auburn in what has to be one of the better rival games recently. Oklahoma St won an important game for them over Boise St. Pump the breaks if your team dropped their first game this week, though. There’s a lot of football yet to play and we rarely have seen undefeated teams in the playoffs.

Week 4 finds aTm ranked and travelling to Tuscaloosa. I’ll be there in Section N-1 Row 38 Seat 2. We’ll learn much in that game. Friday night has an entertaining slate of games. FAU @ UCF, Penn St @ Illinois, and Washington St @ USC. I’m pulling for the road teams. The game I have the most interest in is UGA @ Mizzou. I think the Tigers can surprise and shake up the East. And Purdue might be the best 0-3 team in history. One wonders if they can upset Boston College. TCU @ Texas and Texas Tech @ Oklahoma St rate as exciting matchups that will go a long way to determine the Big 12. Stanford goes to Oregon with the winner providing Washington the best challenger in the Pac 12 North.

I found out why Texas was favored over USC. Steve Williams, as you may remember from the Pac 12 podcast, said USC would be bad. He might be correct. My Vegas 5 went 2-3 last week. I can’t seem to get over the hump yet and the season total sits at 5-9-1. Against the Spread in Top 25 and SEC, Florence played havoc with games and forced cancellations. I went 14-10 taking me to a season total of 51-28.

This week for the Vegas 5 I’ll start with the Over (51) for Louisville and Virginia. I’m going to give a ton of point and take Syracuse (-27.5) over UConn. I want the Over (48) for Michigan St v Indiana. Iowa (+3) over Wisconsin. Lastly, I’ll keep taking USF (-22) until they cover as they take on East Carolina.

Who ya got?

Streaking Into Week 3

Hopefully, Hurricane Florence won’t cause too much harm to the Carolinas. There are more important things than football.

Week 2 witnessed the end of some lengthy streaks. Kansas won on the road and Kentucky finally beat Florida. Other streaks continued. Arizona State remained perfect at home against Big 10 opponents and, of course, Bama beat an unranked opponent and stayed at #1 in the AP. Florida State snuck out with a win against Samford and Maine defeated Western Kentucky. Even in Week, the FCS caused havoc in paycheck games.

Week 3 brings us some marquee match ups and some sneaky good games that you’ll thank me for guilting you into watching. Rutgers visits Kansas. Can the Jayhawks start a winning streak? Miami visits Toledo. In an age of paycheck games, kudos to The U for playing smaller teams at their houses. Also, that game might be better than folks think. Vandy travels to Notre Dame. Let’s find out if the Dores O is legit. And don’t be surprised if Fresno State knocks off UCLA. Ohio St goes to TCU, LSU visits Auburn, and Boise St heads to Oklahoma St. All three games may go a long way into deciding the New Years 6 matchups.

Last week the Vegas 5 picks suffered from one of the greatest end zone picks I’ve ever seen. It cost me the game and I went 2-3 bringing the early season total to 3-6-1. Not the start I’d hoped for. Yet, in Top 25 and SEC matchups I went 22-6 bringing my season total up to 37-18. This week I like Missouri (-7.5) at Purdue. Not sure how USC (+3) is the dog against Texas, but I’ll take those points. I have USF (-10.5) over Illinois. I want Troy (+10.5) over Nebraska. And lastly the Over (64.5) in the Boise St/Oklahoma St game.

Who’d you take?