Tag Archives: ncaa football

Reality

So much to digest from Week 2. Texas is most certainly not back and perhaps regretting that move to the SEC a little. Ohio St was exposed as a good, not great team. But, the season is young for the Buckeyes and they are not out of it yet. USC finally makes the long overdue change and Saban gets to tell his team he was right all week in practice. The best thing about the weekend was the Miami fans saving the cat.

This week sees the first real competition for several teams as either conference play opens or squads step out of conference for big match ups. Auburn plays on the road at a Big 10 school for the first time as a member of the SEC. (last trip in 1931) Alabama at Florida highlights the SEC slate of games and I’m sure the Swamp will be wild. Nebraska goes to Oklahoma in what was once a great rivalry. Unfortunately, as you’ve heard me mention on the preseason shows, the Big 12 destroyed that rivalry in the 1990s.

I was able to watch from the couch as I lost by a hook again and came oh so close on my teaser as well. The Over hit by a point. I move to 7-5 on my Straight picks. I have yet to hit a Parlay or Teaser, but that just means I’m due (said every gambler ever). This week I am taking two Money Line plays. I have Penn St and UTSA beating Auburn and MTSU respectively. I also have two Over plays with Alabama @ Florida (+58) and Nebraska @ Oklahoma (+61.5). The last of the week is Michigan St (+6.5) at Miami. I surprisingly went with mostly marquee matchups this week. I also have a Teaser in play, but we shall see.

I am up for the season so far and the sportsbook just comped me an NFL jersey of my choice. Unfortunately, none of the throwbacks I wanted were available in my size, so I went with #71 Jedrick Wills Jr, LT Cleveland Browns. What action do you have this weekend and what jersey would you have selected?

Overreaction

It’s easy to overact with such a small sample size. One game cannot make a season, but it can sure break it. So, after week one let’s pump those brakes and patiently watch a little more football before we declare certainties that may or may not exist. Pac 12 North and ACC had horrendous starts to the season. Florida St showed a lot of heart against Notre Dame. And how great was the McKenzie Milton story?

My first trip to the Mercedes Benz Dome in Atlanta was a success. Great facility where it does not look like there’s a bad seat in the house. However, the bathrooms on the 200 level are a bit small. Alabama played a great first half of football before falling victim to scoreboard watching. We’ll see how that plays out over the year. It does not appear that Miami is going to let Bama beat them twice, but App St will be ready to play Saturday.

Thursday saw me lose to the hook. Minnesota gave Ohio St all it could handle, but once Ibrahim went down with injury the game changed. Texas surprised me against a very strong Louisiana team. I felt that game would be much closer. The Pirate made me sweat a bit, but Miss St and La Tech finally scored enough points to make me happy. UGA handled Clemson. I expected the outright win, but who says no to points? Funny thing is that all the analysts I heard talking about the game talked how great it was and such. There were no offensive touchdowns and 13 points scored. The LSU @ Bama game in 2011 also had no offensive touchdowns, but 15 points scored. Those same analysts talked about how boring that game was, yet both defenses were sideline to sideline with NFL players. Let’s see if that’s the case with UGA v Clemson. I think there is NFL talent for both on that side of the ball, it is nowhere near what we saw in 2011.

I’m sitting at 4-3 in straight picks on the season as I snuck in a bet on the Monday night game. I took Ole Miss and lay the 10 points. This week in college my straight bets are Arkansas +7 as they host Texas, Under in both Missouri at UK (56) and Iowa at Iowa St (46). I have Oregon +14.5 at Ohio St and Northern Illinois +6.5 as they host Wyoming. I grabbed a 5 Leg Teaser on these also. So I get an extra 6 points for each on the parlay for a lower payout. I also took a 4 Leg Parlay with each team on the money line: ND over Toledo, TCU over Cal, North Illinois over Wyoming, and Temple over Akron.

For the NFL this week I went with the Over (51.5) in the Dallas at Tampa game and Green Bay -4 at New Orleans (game played in Jacksonville). And a 6 Leg Parlay each game on the Money Line: Titans, Packers, Panthers, 49ers, Seahawks, and Bucs.

Here. We. Go.

Week 0 is in the books and I hit on my Illinois +7 action. Labor Day weekend brings us a bonanza of college football. I’ll be in Atlanta for the Alabama v Miami (Fla) game. To make myself feel old, the last time these two teams played, I was a student at Alabama. I’ll never forget Keith Jackson saying “Teague’s got the ball.”

I have my action for the week and am starting the first week at 1-0. Not playing every Top 25 and SEC this season. Instead, I will focus on the actual action and go into greater detail on the play. This week I picked five games and a 4 leg parlay. I have Louisiana (+9) at Texas. The Cajuns have 20 of 22 starters back from a very good team. Oklahoma (-26.5) will be the road team at home against Tulane. Hurricane Ida has relocated the game and I was taking OK either way. I like the Over (52.5) when La Tech plays at Miss St. I’ll be rowing the boat with Minnesota (+13.5) when they host Ohio St. Each of these games also are in my parlay. Lastly, I am taking UGA (+3) against Clemson despite the WR injuries for the Bulldogs.

For my futures action I made some plays that I don’t expect to pay off, but the favorites were so favored that these bets were worth the outside shot. Nevada +450 to win the MWC. UNC +900 to win the ACC. Wisconsin +900 to win the Big 10. Ohio +700 to win the MAC. Oklahoma +750 to win the CFP. I also have a parlay at +750 that has Alabama, Ohio St, Oklahoma, and Boise St each winning their respective conferences.

How the numbers work for betting: One can bet any dollar amount desired. Always stay within not only budget, but what you are willing to lose. However, the +/- system is based on a $100 bet. Therefore, +450 on a $100 bet would win $450 and pay $550. So, whatever dollar amount you place, adjust accordingly.

Week 11 – The Storm

November in college football is like Saturday in a golf tournament. You sure can’t win it yet, but you can eliminate yourself from a championship. Despite what the average fan seems to think, there are more titles than the National Championship. When the Sun Belt Champ lifts the trophy they will be ecstatic.

The CFP Committee got it right. Every is overreacting to where teams are. Most seem to forget that there are four games left in the regular season on top of Championship Weekend. As Aaron Rodgers once said, “R-E-L-A-X.” This is money time for the nine or ten teams still hoping to make the playoffs. I still think Oregon is in a good spot. The Big 10 and SEC champs should be in. An undefeated Clemson goes, but a one-loss Clemson sweats it out. One-loss Oklahoma is already sweating.

I’ll be at the logistical nightmare that is LSU @ Alabama. Why can’t we just play football without all the nonsense? I wish GameDay would’ve chosen Penn St and Minnesota.

Last week my Vegas 5 continued to dip. 2-3 again brings me to 26-24. In Top 25/SEC I went 10-6, which takes me to 120-97. This week I like Kansas St (+7) at Texas. I’ll take the Over (47.5) for Penn St at Minnesota and the Under (43) for UTSA at Old Dominion. The Over (38) for Iowa at Wisconsin and Arizona St (-1.5) when the host USC.

Where’s your action?

Week 10 – Cocktails Along the River

One month remains in the march to championship weekend. Teams are beginning to feel the pressure and drop games they really shouldn’t.

Oklahoma has lost its safety net and Notre Dame is now playing for bowl positioning. Nebraska and Texas once again proved that the experts occasionally look at the name on the front instead of the facts when making their preseason picks.

The big boys are all off this weekend (except Clemson plays Wofford). The nation should turn its gaze to the Sunshine State. The game that used to mean something will be interesting as Miami visits Florida St. The Cocktail Party will decide the SEC East. I still like Florida, but I’ve been wrong this season before. And kudos to ABC/ESPN for properly making SMU at Memphis the prime-time game. Oregon lines up for its big test at USC. Should be a great day to watch college football.

Last week my Vegas 5 went 2-3 dropping me to 24-21. I need to get better if I want to stay above water. In Top 25/SEC, I went 9-9 putting me at 110-91 for the year.

This week I take Florida (+6.5) against Georgia. I like Utah (-3) at Washington and the Under (58.5) when Miss St goes to Arkansas. I want the Over (47) for Virginia at North Carolina and Hawaii (-2.5) against Fresno St.

Where’s your action?

Week 9 – Homecoming

Officiating throughout the nation continues to be poor. And for that matter, so does commentary during games.

The big story involves Tua’s ankle, but the boys in the dessert don’t seem concerned for this weekend. LSU has the big matchup in the South. Can Auburn’s D hold up the dynamic and balanced Bengal Tigers O? Auburn is relegated to a Florida bowl game with a loss and with a win hope remains for bigger prizes. Wisconsin got the shocker last weekend. How much was looking ahead? I’ll let you know next week. Ohio State has looked solid, but here comes the beginning of their tests.

BYU seems to win the games they aren’t supposed to and drop the gimme games. Boise St received the latest upset in the Cougars rollercoaster of love. The Group of 5 rep for the New Year’s 6 may go down to the wire. Conference strength should be a factor and that gives the edge to the AAC and MWC. How much cannibalization occurs and does that open the door for App St? We shall see. I’m hoping for an Air Force v Washington St Vegas Bowl. That would be wild.

I rebounded slightly last week going 3-2 in the Vegas 5. Arizona let me down while the Tua injury may have cost me the Over. I now sit at 22-18. In Top 25/SEC action I went 15-7 which brings me to 101-82.

This week I start with TCU (+1.5) over Texas, Wisconsin (+14.5) against Ohio St, and the Under (59) with Syracuse v Florida St. I close with Temple (+10.5) against UCF and Oregon (-14) over Washington St.

Who do you have?

Week 8 – Third Saturday in October

My favorite week is here again.

Sadly, I will not be in attendance at the Alabama/Tennessee game when Bama hosts. It’s the first Bama home game in this series I have missed since 1991. No team east of the Mississippi River should kickoff at 8pm CT. Like I predicted, now that the weather has cooled, the TV geniuses are handing out SEC night games.

This week, I’m interested to see how Penn St v Michigan turns out. I think that’s one that could go a lot of ways but will likely not be worth watching late if Michigan doesn’t play up to its potential. Oregon @ Washington may go a long way in deciding the PAC12 North. Meanwhile Arizona St @ Utah could do the same in the South. Any slip by Clemson at this point could be devastating. They play in a conference where Duke v Virginia is now a big game on grass and not hardwood. Oklahoma continues to roll, and LSU has the offense they’ve longed for. And as always, I’ll be monitoring the Mountain West.

My slide continues. The Vegas 5 went 2-3 last week dropping me to 19-16. Top 25/SEC has me suffering at 8-14 for the week and 86-75 for the year.

This week give me the Over (61) when Tennessee visits Alabama. I’ll take Wake Forest (-1.5) when they host FSU. (did I just type that?) I’m going with Arizona (+10) against USC. The Over (63) for West Virginia v Oklahoma. And lastly, Oregon (-2.5) against Washington.

Who do you take?

Week 7 – Vegas

Short post this week. Just got back from Vegas and ready for the long weekend of football.

Did not fair well last week in the Vegas 5. 1-4 brings me to 17-13 for the year. Still up, barely. Hit 8-8 on the Top 25/SEC last week and now sit at 78-61.

This week is an actual Vegas 5. At the wonderful Planet Hollywood sports book, I took the Over (61) for Alabama at Texas A&M. I also took the Over (75.5) for Oklahoma v Texas. I have Maryland (-3.5) at Purdue, Army (-4.5) at Western Kentucky, and Navy (pk) at Tulsa. I guess a week of travel makes me trust road teams.

Week 6 – Take a Breathe

Another scorching hot afternoon in Tuscaloosa, but don’t worry, Bama should finally get a night game once the temperature drops. Ah, commercial television.

Things we learned over the last weekend included Maryland not being the same offense as the first two games, Miss St seems to always get smashed in Lee County, and Nebraska is more than a year away.

Finally, we get a full slate of big games this weekend. Auburn at Florida will be the most telling game in my opinion. The Tiger D Line is the best in college football. Can Michigan come through in a big game against Iowa? If their O doesn’t show, then no. The PAC 12 is loaded with great match ups that we brave few plan to fall asleep on the couch watching. TCU v Iowa St is the sneaky good game this go around. Air Force plays Navy as the Commander in Chief Trophy cranks up. Va Tech at Miami used to be a game. But the atmosphere I’d like to be at is Friday night when UCF travels to Cincinnati.

Another 4-1 effort in my Vegas 5 makes me feel better than my miserable 7-12 whiff in Top 25 and SEC games. For the season I sit at 16-9 and 70-53 respectively.

The Vegas 5 for this week starts with the Over (73) when Utah St travels to LSU. Kansas St (-1.5) covers against Baylor, but the Bears are playing well. Maryland (-12.5) gets healthy against Rutgers. Oklahoma at Kansas goes Over (67.5). Lastly, Oregon (-17.5) covers against Cal.

Who do you pick?