Monthly Archives: October 2021

All Good Things

One might think this season has brought chaos so far. I would argue that it has brought normality. Losses by Alabama and Ohio St have hardly removed them form CFP dreams. Clemson falling was predicted on the Preseason show, so I am not surprised there. Since I had Cincinnati in the playoffs, that too seems to be in form. The impact of a rowdy, packed house cannot be understated. Nor can the time it takes for a team to gel. We are still only halfway home with lots left to play out.

This weekend has some rather large SEC matchups. UK visiting UGA is going to be more important than the Cocktail Party this year. Winner takes a commanding lead in the East. I think the Dawgs are just too strong there. Bama travels to Clanga, excuse me, Miss St, to deal with Cowbell Nation. It’s a tough place to bounce back at and those Dogs could be undefeated if for better officiating. Arkansas hosts Auburn and LSU hosts Florida in important pecking order games. Texas welcomes Oklahoma St in a ranked matchup in the BIG12. Watchout for the Longhorns as the figure out Sark’s offense.

After a disaster of a week picking, I found redemption. Once again, I hit Monday Night Football in the NFL, this time also hitting a player prop parlay. I went 5-0 last week, which means I also hit the Parlay and the Teaser. That makes for a happy check of the balance and brings me to 20-13 on the season. I start again with a Friday night game. I take Syracuse (+14) against Clemson. The Tigers have showed very little so far this season and the Orange seem to play everyone close. I’m going with three on the Over again, UCF @ Cincinnati (+57.5), Alabama @ Miss St (+57.5), and Arizona St @ Utah (+51). And I lay the points with Arkansas (-3.5) against Auburn. That line has moved since I got in and the Hogs are even larger faves.

Statements Made

The good favorites covered and covered hard this weekend. Six top 15 teams fell and Cincinnati handled the business in front of them. Officiating cost some teams again this weekend and until a national system replaces the conference system, we will continue to see subpar refs and head scratching replay decisions. Clemson is not a top 25 team and the ACC looks like a Group of 5 conference. Kentucky beat Florida in Lexington for the first time since the pre-Spurrier era. Mullin teams lose four games a year. My biggest takeaway is that Miss St should probably be undefeated right now. Let that sink in. And, while you were sleeping, Hawaii knocked off a ranked Fresno St team which makes my Nevada pick in the MWC look more realistic. And show some love to Oregon St for being first in the PAC 12 North.

It’s now time to start looking at who has separated themselves from the pack. The top two teams are easy and you can put them in whichever order you like. But the chaos starts at number three. My top five is Alabama, Georgia, Iowa, Cincinnati, Oklahoma.

This week we get some incredible match ups. Red River at the Texas State Fair happens, and I think this is an absolute tossup. UGA and Auburn in an earlier than usual matchup. I see the Bulldogs big here. Arkansas and Ole Miss meet to see who is the number two team in the SEC West. But the marquee game is Penn St at Iowa. The under may be the play here, but Penn St needs the win more as the East is loaded and the West is not as deep. Iowa can lose and still make the title game with ease. LSU at UK should provide entertainment and let us know if the Wildcats can avoid the emotional rollercoaster. I think they can. Coach O may want to update his CV.

I took it on the chin last week. 1-5 counting the bonus pick takes me to 15-13. This is the worst I’ve been this late ever. But, it only takes one week to go one way or the other. Even the crew of Daily Wager took it on the chin last weekend. Although, I did hit Monday Night Football for the 2nd straight week. This week I have three Overs – South Carolina @ Tennessee (+53), Arkansas @ Ole Miss (+66), and Maryland @ Ohio St (+68.5). I took Kentucky (-3) when they host LSU and I’ll start off the weekend with the Friday game and go with Charlotte (-3.5) @ Florida International.