Tag Archives: Big 12

All Good Things

One might think this season has brought chaos so far. I would argue that it has brought normality. Losses by Alabama and Ohio St have hardly removed them form CFP dreams. Clemson falling was predicted on the Preseason show, so I am not surprised there. Since I had Cincinnati in the playoffs, that too seems to be in form. The impact of a rowdy, packed house cannot be understated. Nor can the time it takes for a team to gel. We are still only halfway home with lots left to play out.

This weekend has some rather large SEC matchups. UK visiting UGA is going to be more important than the Cocktail Party this year. Winner takes a commanding lead in the East. I think the Dawgs are just too strong there. Bama travels to Clanga, excuse me, Miss St, to deal with Cowbell Nation. It’s a tough place to bounce back at and those Dogs could be undefeated if for better officiating. Arkansas hosts Auburn and LSU hosts Florida in important pecking order games. Texas welcomes Oklahoma St in a ranked matchup in the BIG12. Watchout for the Longhorns as the figure out Sark’s offense.

After a disaster of a week picking, I found redemption. Once again, I hit Monday Night Football in the NFL, this time also hitting a player prop parlay. I went 5-0 last week, which means I also hit the Parlay and the Teaser. That makes for a happy check of the balance and brings me to 20-13 on the season. I start again with a Friday night game. I take Syracuse (+14) against Clemson. The Tigers have showed very little so far this season and the Orange seem to play everyone close. I’m going with three on the Over again, UCF @ Cincinnati (+57.5), Alabama @ Miss St (+57.5), and Arizona St @ Utah (+51). And I lay the points with Arkansas (-3.5) against Auburn. That line has moved since I got in and the Hogs are even larger faves.

Statements Made

The good favorites covered and covered hard this weekend. Six top 15 teams fell and Cincinnati handled the business in front of them. Officiating cost some teams again this weekend and until a national system replaces the conference system, we will continue to see subpar refs and head scratching replay decisions. Clemson is not a top 25 team and the ACC looks like a Group of 5 conference. Kentucky beat Florida in Lexington for the first time since the pre-Spurrier era. Mullin teams lose four games a year. My biggest takeaway is that Miss St should probably be undefeated right now. Let that sink in. And, while you were sleeping, Hawaii knocked off a ranked Fresno St team which makes my Nevada pick in the MWC look more realistic. And show some love to Oregon St for being first in the PAC 12 North.

It’s now time to start looking at who has separated themselves from the pack. The top two teams are easy and you can put them in whichever order you like. But the chaos starts at number three. My top five is Alabama, Georgia, Iowa, Cincinnati, Oklahoma.

This week we get some incredible match ups. Red River at the Texas State Fair happens, and I think this is an absolute tossup. UGA and Auburn in an earlier than usual matchup. I see the Bulldogs big here. Arkansas and Ole Miss meet to see who is the number two team in the SEC West. But the marquee game is Penn St at Iowa. The under may be the play here, but Penn St needs the win more as the East is loaded and the West is not as deep. Iowa can lose and still make the title game with ease. LSU at UK should provide entertainment and let us know if the Wildcats can avoid the emotional rollercoaster. I think they can. Coach O may want to update his CV.

I took it on the chin last week. 1-5 counting the bonus pick takes me to 15-13. This is the worst I’ve been this late ever. But, it only takes one week to go one way or the other. Even the crew of Daily Wager took it on the chin last weekend. Although, I did hit Monday Night Football for the 2nd straight week. This week I have three Overs – South Carolina @ Tennessee (+53), Arkansas @ Ole Miss (+66), and Maryland @ Ohio St (+68.5). I took Kentucky (-3) when they host LSU and I’ll start off the weekend with the Friday game and go with Charlotte (-3.5) @ Florida International.

Upsets?

For those who listened to the preseason show, you know that I said that this is the year Clemson comes back to the pack. You can sign all the 5 Star players you want, but you still have to coach them up and give them a scheme that puts them in the right position to win. The Tiger D is fine, the O is truly offensive. Oklahoma surprisingly can’t move the ball on O either. But is it just a matter of time or is it a sign of things to come? Are we witnessing a changing of the guard on top teams and playoff contenders? Notre Dame struggled more than the score indicated and Fresno St had a hiccup post their UCLA upset. UNC is all but out of the running in the Coastal and Iowa St is now playing catch up as well. I will not even comment on the officiating in a certain SEC game.

Happy time for the Hogs! Arkansas is close to calling themselves the Texas state champs, except UTSA is not on their schedule. Visiting UGA, however is a dog of a different color. The question will be how healthy is JT Daniel and how the crowd will impact Arkansas. Ole Miss visits Alabama in what could be the track meet of the weekend. I’m staying away from action on the game, but I think the Rebels may stop the Tide. Cincinnati can start booking their playoff hotel rooms with a win of Notre Dame. Meanwhile, an inexplicably still ranked Clemson battles BC in the return match of a great game from last season. Even the Big 12 has a ranked match up when Baylor travels to Oklahoma St.

Last week I went 3-2. The hook got me again in one game, but I did hit my Teaser. 14-8 so far and looking for more. I have a bonus pick for Friday night for those looking for an early start, Maryland (+3.5) against Iowa. I’m going points heavy this week. I take Boston College (+15.5) against Clemson, Rutgers (+15) when they host Ohio St, and Arkansas (+18.5) at UGA. I lay the point with Missouri (-3) against Tennessee and go with the Under (50.5) when Northwestern travels to Nebraska. And of course, I grabbed a Parlay and a Teaser on these as well. I made no NFL bets for Sunday, but did have Dallas and covered on Monday night.

Good luck and happy betting.

Struggles

Lots of favorites played tighter than expected games. Which is the real Nebraska? The team that played Oklahoma deep into the game or the one that fumbled through the Illinois game? Better question: what is the real Oklahoma? My preseason pick to take it all has not looked elite. But, what team has? The best win of the season so far may be the Oregon win at Ohio St. Or is it the Alabama victory at the Swamp against a better than anticipated Florida? Clemson’s defense has yet to allow a TD, but their offense has not really scored many themselves. Better goal line execution would have seen GT take the Tigers out of national contention. Tulsa played Ohio St closer than the final score. So, should we approach this as moving closer to parity or that the “elite” teams are not as elite as advertise? The answer is that we have no idea who is truly separating themselves three weeks into the season. This is why polls should not exist before the first week of October.

This week has Notre Dame playing Wisconsin in Chicago. Both teams are unknown in my opinion. Short of one team dominating the other, I think they jury will still be out on them. Arkansas meets aTm in Dallas for their annual Jerry World game. This should be a game to watch. While those are the only rank on rank games, several ranked teams need to be wary of the upset. That leads right into the picks for the week.

Last week I went 4-1 and move to 11-6 on the season on Straight bets. Unfortunately, and combination of missed FGs and head scratching offense led to the Under in the Neb @ OK game. Winning the games was nice, hitting the Parlay would have been the icing. I feel less confident about the games coming up but have hope for success. I am going with the Over (+64) in the Battle for the Iron Skillet between SMU and TCU. I like the Under (-44.5) when Colorado St visits Iowa. I’m laying the points with Michigan St (-5) against Nebraska. I am taking the points with both Mississippi St (+2.5) when they host LSU and NC State (+10) when they welcome Clemson. I also took these with a Parlay and a Teaser.

I missed an NFL Parlay when KC fumbled, but otherwise had a good weekend.

Reality

So much to digest from Week 2. Texas is most certainly not back and perhaps regretting that move to the SEC a little. Ohio St was exposed as a good, not great team. But, the season is young for the Buckeyes and they are not out of it yet. USC finally makes the long overdue change and Saban gets to tell his team he was right all week in practice. The best thing about the weekend was the Miami fans saving the cat.

This week sees the first real competition for several teams as either conference play opens or squads step out of conference for big match ups. Auburn plays on the road at a Big 10 school for the first time as a member of the SEC. (last trip in 1931) Alabama at Florida highlights the SEC slate of games and I’m sure the Swamp will be wild. Nebraska goes to Oklahoma in what was once a great rivalry. Unfortunately, as you’ve heard me mention on the preseason shows, the Big 12 destroyed that rivalry in the 1990s.

I was able to watch from the couch as I lost by a hook again and came oh so close on my teaser as well. The Over hit by a point. I move to 7-5 on my Straight picks. I have yet to hit a Parlay or Teaser, but that just means I’m due (said every gambler ever). This week I am taking two Money Line plays. I have Penn St and UTSA beating Auburn and MTSU respectively. I also have two Over plays with Alabama @ Florida (+58) and Nebraska @ Oklahoma (+61.5). The last of the week is Michigan St (+6.5) at Miami. I surprisingly went with mostly marquee matchups this week. I also have a Teaser in play, but we shall see.

I am up for the season so far and the sportsbook just comped me an NFL jersey of my choice. Unfortunately, none of the throwbacks I wanted were available in my size, so I went with #71 Jedrick Wills Jr, LT Cleveland Browns. What action do you have this weekend and what jersey would you have selected?

Week 11 – The Storm

November in college football is like Saturday in a golf tournament. You sure can’t win it yet, but you can eliminate yourself from a championship. Despite what the average fan seems to think, there are more titles than the National Championship. When the Sun Belt Champ lifts the trophy they will be ecstatic.

The CFP Committee got it right. Every is overreacting to where teams are. Most seem to forget that there are four games left in the regular season on top of Championship Weekend. As Aaron Rodgers once said, “R-E-L-A-X.” This is money time for the nine or ten teams still hoping to make the playoffs. I still think Oregon is in a good spot. The Big 10 and SEC champs should be in. An undefeated Clemson goes, but a one-loss Clemson sweats it out. One-loss Oklahoma is already sweating.

I’ll be at the logistical nightmare that is LSU @ Alabama. Why can’t we just play football without all the nonsense? I wish GameDay would’ve chosen Penn St and Minnesota.

Last week my Vegas 5 continued to dip. 2-3 again brings me to 26-24. In Top 25/SEC I went 10-6, which takes me to 120-97. This week I like Kansas St (+7) at Texas. I’ll take the Over (47.5) for Penn St at Minnesota and the Under (43) for UTSA at Old Dominion. The Over (38) for Iowa at Wisconsin and Arizona St (-1.5) when the host USC.

Where’s your action?

Week 10 – Cocktails Along the River

One month remains in the march to championship weekend. Teams are beginning to feel the pressure and drop games they really shouldn’t.

Oklahoma has lost its safety net and Notre Dame is now playing for bowl positioning. Nebraska and Texas once again proved that the experts occasionally look at the name on the front instead of the facts when making their preseason picks.

The big boys are all off this weekend (except Clemson plays Wofford). The nation should turn its gaze to the Sunshine State. The game that used to mean something will be interesting as Miami visits Florida St. The Cocktail Party will decide the SEC East. I still like Florida, but I’ve been wrong this season before. And kudos to ABC/ESPN for properly making SMU at Memphis the prime-time game. Oregon lines up for its big test at USC. Should be a great day to watch college football.

Last week my Vegas 5 went 2-3 dropping me to 24-21. I need to get better if I want to stay above water. In Top 25/SEC, I went 9-9 putting me at 110-91 for the year.

This week I take Florida (+6.5) against Georgia. I like Utah (-3) at Washington and the Under (58.5) when Miss St goes to Arkansas. I want the Over (47) for Virginia at North Carolina and Hawaii (-2.5) against Fresno St.

Where’s your action?

Week 9 – Homecoming

Officiating throughout the nation continues to be poor. And for that matter, so does commentary during games.

The big story involves Tua’s ankle, but the boys in the dessert don’t seem concerned for this weekend. LSU has the big matchup in the South. Can Auburn’s D hold up the dynamic and balanced Bengal Tigers O? Auburn is relegated to a Florida bowl game with a loss and with a win hope remains for bigger prizes. Wisconsin got the shocker last weekend. How much was looking ahead? I’ll let you know next week. Ohio State has looked solid, but here comes the beginning of their tests.

BYU seems to win the games they aren’t supposed to and drop the gimme games. Boise St received the latest upset in the Cougars rollercoaster of love. The Group of 5 rep for the New Year’s 6 may go down to the wire. Conference strength should be a factor and that gives the edge to the AAC and MWC. How much cannibalization occurs and does that open the door for App St? We shall see. I’m hoping for an Air Force v Washington St Vegas Bowl. That would be wild.

I rebounded slightly last week going 3-2 in the Vegas 5. Arizona let me down while the Tua injury may have cost me the Over. I now sit at 22-18. In Top 25/SEC action I went 15-7 which brings me to 101-82.

This week I start with TCU (+1.5) over Texas, Wisconsin (+14.5) against Ohio St, and the Under (59) with Syracuse v Florida St. I close with Temple (+10.5) against UCF and Oregon (-14) over Washington St.

Who do you have?

Week 8 – Third Saturday in October

My favorite week is here again.

Sadly, I will not be in attendance at the Alabama/Tennessee game when Bama hosts. It’s the first Bama home game in this series I have missed since 1991. No team east of the Mississippi River should kickoff at 8pm CT. Like I predicted, now that the weather has cooled, the TV geniuses are handing out SEC night games.

This week, I’m interested to see how Penn St v Michigan turns out. I think that’s one that could go a lot of ways but will likely not be worth watching late if Michigan doesn’t play up to its potential. Oregon @ Washington may go a long way in deciding the PAC12 North. Meanwhile Arizona St @ Utah could do the same in the South. Any slip by Clemson at this point could be devastating. They play in a conference where Duke v Virginia is now a big game on grass and not hardwood. Oklahoma continues to roll, and LSU has the offense they’ve longed for. And as always, I’ll be monitoring the Mountain West.

My slide continues. The Vegas 5 went 2-3 last week dropping me to 19-16. Top 25/SEC has me suffering at 8-14 for the week and 86-75 for the year.

This week give me the Over (61) when Tennessee visits Alabama. I’ll take Wake Forest (-1.5) when they host FSU. (did I just type that?) I’m going with Arizona (+10) against USC. The Over (63) for West Virginia v Oklahoma. And lastly, Oregon (-2.5) against Washington.

Who do you take?