No podcast this week as Irma has disrupted the standard operating procedures.
Two games into a season does not give enough information to get a good handle on who is truly great and who is a house of cards. Of course, film doesn’t lie and there are some very good and very bad teams out there.
The big game of Week 2 was Oklahoma over Ohio St. Consider the last four games for the Buckeyes, a controversial win over Michigan, a decisive loss to Clemson, a comeback over Indiana once the Hoosiers ran out of gas, and now the collapse of the second half to the Sooners. Before I give too much credit to the Sooners (though credit is due), perhaps we have all overestimated Ohio St.
Georgia pulled out a big win on the road against Notre Dame. I think the biggest upset was the crowd was 40% Bulldog. USC stomped Stanford and Clemson suffocated Auburn in the rest of the big-time match ups.
Week 3 gives up some conference match ups but little in the way of national marquee action. Clemson and Louisville is the biggest game of the week. I think we will learn if Clemson is a playoff team this weekend. Louisville relies heavily on great QB play from Lamar Jackson and he deserves the hype. I like Clemson here, but in Vegas, I’d leave it alone. Tennessee travels to the Swamp to meet the Gators. Florida has deficiencies on offense and the Vols on D. It’s a coin flip for me, but I give Tennessee the edge.
My picks last week went 2-3 giving me a 5-4-1 season record. I’ve also been picking each top 25 and SEC game outside this blog (a lot to report on individually). My current record against the spread there is 34-14.
This week my five picks if I were in Vegas again avoid many of the bigger games. I am sold on San Diego St. I know Stanford is my pick in the PAC12 North, and I’m currently ok there, but I see a close game. I’ll take San Diego St (+9.5)
I watched a much-improved Fresno St squad in person. Coach Tedford has brought a solid scheme and they have a legit NFL LB on the team. I’ll take Fresno St (+33) against Washington. The Huskies should win handily, but that’s a lot of points.
South Carolina (-6.5) is my pick over Kentucky. Oklahoma St (-13.5) over Pitt. Boston College (+13.5) against Notre Dame.